Estos mapas están basados en investigaciones científicas y arbitradas dirigidas por Benjamin Strauss y Scott Kulp de Clima Central (Climate Central) en colaboración con Anders Levermann del Instituto de Investigación de Impactos del Clima en Potsdam (Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research), y fueron publicados en los Acontecimientos de la Academia Nacional de Ciencias de los Estados Unidos de América (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America).
La aplicación de estas investigaciones a áreas fuera de los EE.UU. está descrita detalladamente en el reporte de Opciones del Mapa (Mapping Choices).
El propósito de estas notas es mejorar el entendimiento de las investigaciones, de los mapas, y de cómo usar dichos recursos.
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CLIMATE CHANGE: Sea levels for PUERTA VALLARTA. Tools and analysis/ Mapping Choices.
These notes are intended to help explain the research, the maps, and how to use them.
Reading Sea level timing is critical for a clear understanding of when the sea level rise shown on these maps could occur in the future.
These maps are based on peer-reviewed scientific research led by Benjamin Strauss and Scott Kulp of Climate Central in collaboration with Anders Levermann of the Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, and published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
Application of this research to areas outside the U.S. is detailed in the Mapping Choices report.
Mapping Choices: Which sea level will we lock in?
Carbon pollution casts a long shadow. It is expected to persist in the atmosphere long enough to prolong temperature increases for hundreds and thousands of years, long after we stop burning fossil fuels or clearing forest. And the seas will continue to rise.
That’s what these maps are about. They do not show what sea levels will be in this century (see this map for near-term analysis). What they do show are scientific projections, taken from this paper, of the different post-2100 sea levels that could lock in this century, depending upon the carbon pathway we select. The areas colored blue are the areas below those levels – areas which will eventually be permanently underwater. These maps pose this question: which legacy will we choose?
Some research has suggested that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet has begun an unstoppable collapse, but the evidence is far from conclusive. The maps here do not assume inevitable West Antarctic collapse. If collapse has in fact begun, all locked-in sea levels would be higher than shown.
Carbon emissions levels would still influence all outcomes.
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SOURCE: CLIMATE CENTRAL
Climate Central quantifies coastal flood risk: • Give us the locations of buildings, businesses, schools - or almost anything - near the coast • We’ll give you expected flood data for each location. Climate Central is a non-profit research organization providing authoritative science-based information products to help public and corporate stakeholders make sound decisions about climate and energy.
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